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 obama is gaining ground with hispanics!!

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Nombre de messages : 966
Localisation : USA
Date d'inscription : 29/08/2006

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MessageSujet: obama is gaining ground with hispanics!!   Jeu 7 Fév 2008 - 11:16

Candidates are locked in intense battle for Latinos
Obama makes gains against Clinton's long history with fast-growing voting bloc

By Jill Lawrence
WASHINGTON � The ongoing Democratic presidential race combined with Latino population growth and diverse states on the early calendar have ignited the first spirited battle for Hispanic votes in a primary season.
The rivalry between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama is a turning point, said Simon Rosenberg, president of the New Democrat Network, which studies Hispanic voting. "Hispanics have arrived as a major force. This is now a permanent condition of American politics in the 21st century," he said.
Clinton, the New York senator and former first lady, has a 16-year history of working with Hispanics and began laying the groundwork with them for her presidential run in late 2006. Obama, the Illinois senator, started a push for Hispanic votes last month as Super Tuesday contests neared in several states with large Hispanic voting blocs.
Obama won 26% of the Hispanic vote in the Nevada caucuses Jan. 19, compared with 64% for Clinton.
In states this week where at least 10% of voters were Hispanic, his share ranged from 26% in Clinton's home state of New York to 50% in his own home state of Illinois, surveys of voters leaving the polls showed. In California, where three in 10 voters were Hispanic, Obama's 32% share was an improvement on earlier polls but not enough to help him win.
Republican candidates did not have a high-profile competition for Hispanics. In California, Latinos accounted for 13% of the electorate. Arizona Sen. John McCain, a supporter of paths to citizenship for illegal immigrants, received more of the Latino vote than his rivals, 39%.
Obama was boosted in the days before Super Tuesday by endorsements from Massachusetts Sen. Edward Kennedy and Southern California's La Opini�n, the largest Spanish-language daily newspaper in the USA. He also made points in a debate at which he reaffirmed his support for driver's licenses for illegal immigrants and refused to blame them for joblessness among blacks.
On Wednesday, Obama said he has made "enormous progress" among Hispanics and will do better as he becomes more familiar. "It's just a matter of us getting more information to them," he said in Chicago. "As Latino voters get to know me … they realize I'm somebody who's going to be battling for all people, including Latino voters."
Still, several analysts say Obama was late to ramp up his appeal to Hispanics, and it cost him in Nevada and California. "You have to ask Latinos for their vote and not just assume you have their vote because you share this common history of oppression," said Andra Gillespie, a political scientist at Emory University in Atlanta.
Obama introduced himself in Feb. 5 states with a Spanish-language television ad just days before Super Tuesday. Matt Barreto, an expert on Latino politics at the University of Washington, said Obama made far less use of Spanish-language radio in the Southwest. "That was a huge mistake. It is a very powerful medium," he said.
Texas, the only remaining primary state with a major Hispanic component, votes March 4. Rosenberg and others said Obama needs to introduce himself, talk about his views on immigration and his plans to help struggling workers, and generally signal that he cares. "This is no longer about sending surrogates. He's got to make the case himself," Rosenberg said.
Obama spokesman Tommy Vietor rejected the notion that the campaign got a late start, noting the primary season is "sequential" and outreach to Hispanics in the first contest, in Iowa, helped Obama win an important victory.
Analysts give many reasons for Clinton's dominance in this group:
•She has a famous name, a long history with the community and a husband who put many Hispanics in his Cabinet and administration.
• Her focus on economic nuts and bolts may have had more appeal to Hispanics than Obama's "change" message. "This population is very blue-collar," says Roberto Suro, a University of Southern California professor and former head of the Pew Hispanic Center. That puts them squarely within the lower-income, less educated demographic Clinton has dominated in primaries to date.
•Blue-collar Hispanics are less likely to know of Obama. "People who hear about a challenger tend to be higher educated individuals" who watch news and use the Web, said Rodolfo Espino, a political scientist at Arizona State University.
•In California, Suro said, Clinton started lining up endorsements and making appearances as far back as 2006. On Tuesday, she had help getting out the vote from many elected officials with effective political organizations, including Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa.
All the analysts dismissed the idea that Obama is lagging because Latinos are reluctant to vote for blacks. Barreto said there's very little evidence of that. To the contrary, black mayors Harold Washington of Chicago, David Dinkins of New York, Wellington Webb of Denver and Ron Kirk of Dallas all received overwhelming Hispanic support when they were elected to office.
Obama's own career is another example, Barreto said: In his 2004 Senate primary, Obama won more Hispanic votes than Latino candidate Gerry Chico.
In 2008, for Obama, "it's a name-recognition thing," Barreto said. "It's an outreach thing."
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Rodlam Sans Malice
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Nombre de messages : 11114
Localisation : USA
Loisirs : Lecture et Internet
Date d'inscription : 21/08/2006

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MessageSujet: Re: obama is gaining ground with hispanics!!   Lun 11 Fév 2008 - 22:27

The real test of Obama's success with the hispanics will be realized in Texas.As one anlayst predicted if Obama wins Texas then mrs Clinton is in big trouble.

What is really troubling at this point is the possibility that these primaries can split the democratic party if the superdelegates do not follow the wish of the people.I heard Miss Bazile said that she will abandon the democratic party if the superdelegates do not ratify the votes of the people. I will do the same.If Senator Obama after all his victories is not chosen as the Vice president of the ticket a lots of black democrats will stay home.The same thing if Senator Obama does not choose Hillary Clinton as his Vice president a lots of women will stay home .I will not vote in the coming election.

Regardless of the consequences ;whoever wins the nomination should choose the candidate who comes after him or her.The democrats better be careful.This election will reveal really if the democratic party is a party of inclusion.
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alex jacques
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Nombre de messages : 1082
Localisation : Haiti
Date d'inscription : 23/08/2006

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MessageSujet: Re: obama is gaining ground with hispanics!!   Mer 13 Fév 2008 - 2:56

Now if we can win Texas or Ohio, I can bet that noone can stop us.
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